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morning. i'm mark haines. >> i'm erin burnett. front and center, benjamin s. bernanke. >> yes. >> will be testifying in front of the house financial services committee about the economy and anything else they want to talk about. that'll be live in an hour. >> how about the exit strategy? imagine there will be some questions about that. the sec meets on possibly curbing short sales. huge issue for the market. full details coming up. >> and president obama meeting with key business leaders. it's all happening during this show. we've got a lot of breaking news, big headlines for you. we will be all over it, mark. how are your futures? >> not too good. >> no. >> up 0.70. we get a little break here because we closed a point above fair value. but, you know, looking at maybe 15, 20 points on the dow at the open. let's hit the markets. peel back the layers of the onion starting with brian shactman at the big board. >> thank you. listen, asia and europe were pretty mixed. germany, their economy in an absolute standstill. doint need to go over bernanke and all things going on in d.c. wi
the toyota hearing that we've been watching here on cnbc. federal reserve chairman ben bernanke also telling congress today that interest rates are likely to remain low for an extended period of time to support the economic recovery. that's what really set the tone for stocks today and saw a rally in the market by 91 reports. cnbc's reporter steve liesman has more. >> reporter: fed chairman ben bernanke said those magical words that markets wanted to hear today, that the fed would stay exceptionally low for an extended period. he said that before but market his their doubts after fed hiked discount rate last week and the treasury, then, revived a program that helps the fed train liquidity. that is ultimate lie a program that could make financial conditions tougher. bernanke attempted to be crystal-clear on fed policy. >> the fomc continues to anticipate that economic condition conditions including low rates or resource utilization subdued in inflation trends and stabile expectations are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. >> reporter:
't paying attention. my lead of the bernanke speech was discount rate to be hiked. my lead on the minutes was -- >> it sounds like -- >> let me finish, melissa, just be clear, my sources are telling me in the wake of this that the concept there's another bit to come is not necessarily true. they may stop here. so the idea that somehow they're just beginning this process of going back to 100 over on the fed funds is not true. it's out there in a lot of stuff. they may stop here. >> rich bernstein -- >> i want to ask both of you. do you think fed funds december 31, 2010 will be higher than they are today? >> well, let me answer that question and put it back to you. the typical forecast, is that the unemployment rate will be 9.5% or higher. also, that the inflation rate over the last year will be 1 to 1.25%. i have to ask you if you think at that point the fed would begin to tighten? you tell me. >> first of all, i think the bond market will -- i don't think the bond market looks at core. i hate to argue with on you this one, but if we find the inflation rate starts breaking 3, 3.5, we break
't you tell us what you think after hearing a couple days of bernanke's testimony on the hill. does it change your outlook on what the fed is doing? >> no, as long as they use the magic words, extended period, we know the fed will be on hold for at least six months. that's what bill dudley told us. he said extended period was the language the fed has put in the policy statement, means at least six months. it was a phrase repeated by st. louis fed president bullard recently. so whenever bernanke puts his word in on it as well, we can feel assured that the fed is not likely to move for at least six months. the fed needs to be very clear at this day and age. so if they're telling us that that's what extended period means, that's what it means. and so, until there's some other clarifying comments, that's what we have to go on. >> we had somebody who told us yesterday that maybe they could move 25, 50 basis points. it's not the extended period but they're focusing on the incredibly low rates. either one of you guys quily think that's the case? >> the focus is on the extraordinary program
a year. we'll have full details in tonight's "market focus". as ben bernanke was sworn in for a second term today, the federal reserve chairman said he was focused on protecting the agency's independence. bernanke said that independence is key to keeping monetary policy focused on the long-term interests of the american people, and not political whims. >> susie: you've probably noticed that the prices you're paying at the pump are holding steady these days. but can we count on them to stay that way? well, that all depends on what happens to the price of oil. and, as suzanne pratt reports, forecasts for oil prices in 2010 are all over the map. >> reporter: at this gas station in midtown manhattan, gas prices are among the highest in the nation. whether they spike even higher, head lower, or stay in the same range this year depends on who you ask. j.p. morgan's lawrence eagles expects crude prices, which dictate gas prices, to climb higher. that's after averaging between $72 and $76 a barrel in the first half this year. >> moving higher in the second half, up to $88 by the end of the yea
bernanke and the possibility of raising interest rates. or effectively raising interest rates. that is today's street poll. not long ago, this man had limited mobility. last month, this woman wasn't even able to get around inside of her own home. they chose mobility. and they chose the scooter store! if you or a loved one live with limited mobility call the scooter store! no other company will work harder to make you mobile or do more to guarantee your complete satisfaction. if we pre-qualify you for a new power chair or scooter and your claim isn't approved, the scooter store will give you your power chair or scooter free. that's our guarantee. they were so helpful and nice. they filed all the paperwork, and medicare and my insurance covered the cost. we can work directly with medicare or with your insurance company. we can even help with financing. if there's a way, we'll find it! so don't wait any longer, call the scooter store today. >>> as america slowly recovers from the recession many investors have been looking to china, the country's economy is in the middle of a huge
talking about bernanke in how the suggestion that rates will stay low for a long time, it was a positive for this market. >> i think so. i think that you're seeing a lot of sloppiness in a market without a lot of conviction. for my money i think that the two buzz words are exit strategy for 2010 and the sovereign risk and we've seen the risk. the euro gets their own structural problems but i think that the chinese implementing their exit strategy in the beginning of this year has kind of set the tone. bernanke's going to stay liquid, he's going to stay accomodated for a good long time and that's a mixed message. the fed's really not going to tighten, not going to make things difficult for us and then again the credit and the economy still needs a little bit support. we kind of grind out 2010, i think that we end up higher on the year but it's going to be a tough road down. >> so, do we end higher overall, you say? >> i think so in the u.s. >> substantially higher? >> i think high single digits will probably be a reasonable expectations. >> and what would be the way given the various fact
. the fed was very clear about that in its statement. ben bernanke was very clear about that. we have to take them at their word. banks are still nursing a lot of wounds. >> they can say that all they want but the truth is rates are going to go up. for most americans that is the most important rate. >> well, so, they're not expecting a big increase in mortgage rates actually. when they stop buying mortgages in march. and to the extent that mortgage rates do go up, you know, think if anything it gives them less of an inclination to raise the fed fund rate further down the road. if you ask me, the odds of a feds fund rate increase later this year have actually gotten down in the last 24 hours and gone up because the number was soft. the soft cpi number means the dove have a strengther hand. they're saying we've got to keep rates low for a long time. the feds said this technical discount rate did not change the broader view of where the financial system and the economy are. >> can you explain why, then, they did this in an emergency way? they have this meeting where they make this decisi
. and with dr. bernanke scheduled to speak tomorrow, our sense is that that trade will be relatively quiet here. a high volume area last week was around 1064 even. we'll probably bing bong back and forth on that trade waiting for dr. bernanke or for further developments in europe. >> what's your view, jamie, about today's trade and whether you believe in the bounce we are likely to get, at least at the open? >> well, i think the most encouraging part is that this rally is coming from european financials. you can see all those works up markedly on yesterday's trade. domestically, local ibs have been overwhelmed by this european crisis. unemployment was a great number on friday. it exceeded expectations. earnings continue to be strong. we seem to have been weighed down by euro. if that turn around and those financials continue to hold these gains, it could be very good things domestically. >> jamie, most of the guys you trade with trade according to technical analysis charts and yada yada. let me run this by you. the day before yesterday, which was a monday, right? yeah. did monday look like a sh
for ben bernanke and the federal reserve, that there is a very substantial penalty for early withdrawal. we're seeing china and india tighten, now europe withdrawing its liquidity facilities. the u.s. would do well to mind this lesson. if we start to syphon off some of the liquidity, there really could be hell to pay. what we're seeing, when you mention gold, the deflation trade is being put back on. the dollar is going up, gold is going down, oil is collapsing, commodities across the board have been very weak. equity markets are falling all at the same time while domestic rates drop. for anybody worried about inflation in united states, the dollar is going up, u.s. rates are going down and the u.s. on a relative basis is still the safest market in the world no matter what anybody sayless. but there is a danger if the fed doesn't heed the lessons of what's going on elsewhere in the worldtion we, too, could face some of the problems like europe, although our banks are in better shape than yours. >> which is why, rick santelli, the china trade, you want to buy anything that need, we saw t
like the saints have it for a second. >> the guest host is inside the bernanke huddle during the financial crisis, former fed governor randy kroszner. >>> a big play here, a big play there, and the bulls may be ready to run. >> picked off. look out. just passed manning and tracy porter taking the ball all the way. touchdown, new orleans! >> "squawk box" begins right now. ♪ ♪ >>> good morning, everybody. welcome back to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with steve liesman, carl and joe are out but in studio we also have new york times reporter andrew ross sorkin. our guest host, randy kroszner, a business professor at the booth school of business. great to have you here, randy. >> great to see you. >> we have a lot to talk to you about this morning. let's go to your morning rundown. we have a game plan with howard ward, portfolio manager for gamco investors growth fund. then we'll see if we can diffuse the debt bomb that threatens the global market. it's a small problem we'll try to fix this morning. later we'll be monday morning quarterbacking the super bow
. people still point to may of '07 when bernanke says subprime is 9% of mortgages, right? they're not infallible. and we can't expect them to be, i guess, is the answer, right? >> none of us is infallible. if you didn't learn that, you missed something over the course of the past three years. >> dan's with us for the rest of the program. we've got a lot more to talk about. >>> meantime, any questions or comments this morning, we'd love to hear from you. our address is squawk@cnbc.com. >>> when we come back, european exposure, debt crisis overseas, how some u.s. companies might be impacted. >>> still to come, olympic skiers headed to the starting gate at whistler while bankers in new york await a possible auction. we'll get an update from daniel nu mudd, the ceo of fortress, just ahead. >>> time now for today's "aflac trivia question." what baseball player nicknamed the georgia peach amassed 4,189 hits in his career? this is not more benefits at greater cost to your company insurance. this is not how does it fit in my company's budget insurance. this is help protect and care for
and bernanke. cisco's numbers come right at the close. >>> visa is also reporting quarterly numbers after the bell. in today's fast money final call we'll tell you how to take your position on that. fast money contributor joining us now. good to see you. >> great to be with you, judge. >> got to be quick here. what are you expecting from visa after the bell? >> as it trades down to the lows of the day like you and maria have been saying, a lot of financial stocks. >> both down today. >> visa's got earnings after the bell today. i'm bullish on that because of unusual call buying and that's right after the bell. 91 cents. and/or positive guidance, that's what we're looking for. master, tomorrow morning, before the market opens and we don't have any reading on that one. but i am long visa. >> is visa, part of it is that the debit card business continues to do well. as people are perhaps charging less and going to the debit card? >> you bet. as well as the sheer transactions, because these guys are just a through-put, they're not taking the risk on the other side of the trade. so regardless o
chairman bernanke's confirmation was in doubt. all of a sudden they dialed it back. this budget is part of that dialing back. >> let's talk about that, andrew. the financial responsibility fee, better known as the bank tax, is in the budget. what kind of details are in it? because jaret says the language has been pared down quite a bit. >> people were selling into any financial strength across the board. you have volcker testifying tomorrow. although jaret brings up good points, the reality of this is that the risk is not in the budget. the risk is with the next announcement from volcker. or the treasury department and bank of america signing on to this second lien modification program which they did last week. that's where the real worry of wall street is. and you saw energy hold up today. you saw health care sell off for about an hour after the budget came out. and then it recovered to about flat as i was leaving the office. but across the board today, long and short, i mean, we were seeing sellers of financial stocks into strength. >> what about, andrew, when you look at the other ta
, 50 basis points or 100 basis points would be out of whack. >> did you see bernanke's swearing-in? >> i didn't.he president wasn't? >> how do you talk about transparency when you have a private swearing-in ceremony in apparently there is no legal standing for the swearing-in ceremony, because he was approved while he was still chairman. if the chairmanship expired, there would need to be a -- >> why would you need to see someone sworn in? you think he's actually going to swear? >> typically a president or a top official at some time -- >> but transparency, though. >> the most public fight over a fed chairman. >> the ceremonyial way. >> it's not a legal thing. >> you want him to answer questions that you pose him, you don't want to see the ceremony of someone swearing in, how did he look, what was his expression? was he worried? >> does it help he was in matter? >> i don't think it matters. >> this isn't what transparency was watched. i want to have watched it. i wouldn't have taken time out of my day to watch it. >> it shows you what a nerd you are. >> i don't want to be surpri
word that ben bernanke is set to testify. >> i'm sue herera. there are some bright spots. travelers, at&t, walmart and dupont are among the dow's 30 winners. >> ppl beat the street. the ceo will join us first on cnbc. tyson foods smashing analysts' estimates. ate na pushing higher. we should get to the market. >> i'm dennis neil. let's get straight to this market action. let's go to bob pisani. >> here's a couple of headlines here. stocks close in europe at 1130, the stock market droops here. the second time in a row. guys in europe are getting concerned. they want to lighten up. second thing that happened that's important here, is dollarle rallied at the exact same moment we had yesterday. of course, what happens when that happens? it puts pressure on commodities and puts pressure on commodity stocks. all the big names in energy and the material groups on the weak side. and sharon, we saw a heck of a lot of contracts traded in oil in the last hour and a half. >> that's right. over 400,000 contracts traded today, bob, and this is the second straight day of massive contracts and massive
bush, ben bernanke, tim geithner to get the record out. this is news in and of itself, michelle, beyond the details you point out. his first-person account goes into the record and it's going to be essential to figure out where did we go wrong and how do we fix it? amazing to me the number of things that aren't fixed yet. >> final thought to you? >> i agree with steve. it was remarkable book. it helps the history exicle record. i call it pg version. he said the british screwed us. in my book he uses a colorful phrase. >> andrew, thank you. steve, thank you. the word on the street goldman sachs' ceo lloyd blankfein could collect a bonus up to $100 million according to the report in the times of london. goldman sachs roundly distribpu the rumor saying there's speculation and there's stupidity. this speculation transcends the stupid and takes it to a new level. i would call that -- that would be your denial-denial. >> that would be a strong denial. goldman sachs shares gaining 90% for a year and about 4% higher right now. the goldman sachs folks knocked this story down. it is only in the t
with bernanke and for some reason there have been just no real uptick generally about the fact that those types of things already are prohibited. you can only use a minimal amount of the bank's capital in other areas of a bank holding company. in addition to that, it actually move capital permanently, you've got to reduce the capital of the commercial bank also. so i do wonder -- >> yes, go ahead. basically, you're saying that those who think this is simply a punitive move by the obama administration are right. am i reading you correctly? >> well, let me say this. look, paul volcker is like a folk hero here? there's no question. his inflation efforts were tremendously appreciated and the timing of the announcement, i think everybody on all sides are transparently political. that doesn't mean, that look, we don't need to continue to look at ways of dealing with this. i don't think it got a great reception yesterday. again, we've got one more hearing tomorrow with goldman and others and we'll drill down in another way, but my sense is there's not a lot of traction on it because there are mechanis
Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20 (some duplicates have been removed)